Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80db47f6daead86a882bea8a149ccd32e43a611649eb843e4db42952b02c2055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…3ac1backed Over | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 49c | 9,752$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 4,757$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.37 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Over | 50c | 3,972$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 3,613$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.23 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 3,395$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.21 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 3,310$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.25 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,542$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 2,220$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 50c | 1,150$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.38 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 48c | 425$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 65c | 379.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Under | 61c | 324.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 40c | 250.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 49c | 204.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 44c | 153.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 153.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 151.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 34c | 144.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Over | 50c | 122.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 104.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Over | 42c | 94.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 93.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 30c | 83.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Over | 49c | 56.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 23c | 53.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 69c | 43.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 32.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 64c | 31.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Over | 58c | 26.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…b1fbbacked Over | 50c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 52c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 61c | 23.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…04d8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 61c | 19.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 69c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-2.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.