Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaedccdbe6d7430620647c5156b3b1464ff589d21e9df292538ccba76c959aa07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HNK Hajduk Splitof HNK Hajduk Split, MŠK Žilina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MŠK Žilina | 57c | 6,547$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.7 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HNK Hajduk Split | 65c | 2,081$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.3 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed HNK Hajduk Split | 42c | 1,373$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.94 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HNK Hajduk Split | 44c | 1,299$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.45 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed HNK Hajduk Split | 60c | 1,262$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.36 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed HNK Hajduk Split | 41c | 1,104$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.36 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.56 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed MŠK Žilina | 38c | 991.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.04 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed MŠK Žilina | 11c | 901.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked MŠK Žilina | 54c | 599.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 581$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 581$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed HNK Hajduk Split | 46c | 459.38$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed HNK Hajduk Split | 41c | 456$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed HNK Hajduk Split | 41c | 429.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.3 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked MŠK Žilina | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked MŠK Žilina | 37c | 376.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MŠK Žilina | 37c | 371.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 304$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MŠK Žilina | 55c | 300.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed HNK Hajduk Split | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HNK Hajduk Split | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 41c | 293.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HNK Hajduk Split | 68c | 198.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 44c | 189.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed HNK Hajduk Split | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed HNK Hajduk Split | 45c | 156.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked MŠK Žilina | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 41c | 114$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed MŠK Žilina | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HNK Hajduk Split | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed HNK Hajduk Split | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…84eabacked HNK Hajduk Split | 46c | 105.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed HNK Hajduk Split | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed HNK Hajduk Split | 45c | 99.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked MŠK Žilina | 54c | 83.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked HNK Hajduk Split | 44c | 79.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MŠK Žilina | 50c | 63.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed MŠK Žilina | 56c | 60.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MŠK Žilina | 57c | 57.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 51.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked HNK Hajduk Split | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 47.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 41.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed HNK Hajduk Split | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed HNK Hajduk Split | 43c | 32.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed MŠK Žilina | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HNK Hajduk Split | 73c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed MŠK Žilina | 49c | 23.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…4da5backed MŠK Žilina | 57c | 20.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed MŠK Žilina | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)this page
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: MŠK Žilina O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: MŠK Žilina O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 4.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)MŠK Žilina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.