Europa Conference League · resolved market
HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c0f63e6ae579c72590fa91eb38c7e1eb31ced0cc18fde3999025f475c8afef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 45c | 7,893$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.39 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 5,395$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 3,095$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.68 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 59c | 1,442$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.89 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 1,279$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.47 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 956.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 699.63$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.68 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Over | 59c | 426.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Over | 58c | 364$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -86%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 41c | 304.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 297$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 296.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 296.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 41c | 294$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 41c | 288$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 41c | 246.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 58c | 218.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 158.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 41c | 149.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 147.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 9c | 143$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 118.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over | 56c | 112.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 90.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 89.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 85.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 70.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Under | 45c | 56.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 52.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Over | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 40c | 48.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 43.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 42.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…d1fdbacked Under | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Over | 55c | 39.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 66c | 30.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Over | 55c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 58c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 56c | 23.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…367cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 2.5this page
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: MŠK Žilina O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: MŠK Žilina O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 3.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 4.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. MŠK Žilina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)MŠK Žilina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.