Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dc83324b1f4ffd27d8ee1ed9e0d654e52f77319d6150c86d151c3da30bbd8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 3,365$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.97 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 3,232$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.04 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 41c | 3,088$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,530$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 1,046$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.27 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 985.66$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 67c | 463.85$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 31c | 463.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 44c | 424.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 416.12$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 36c | 414$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes | 56c | 357.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed No | 32c | 308.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…fdebbacked No | 41c | 282.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d6…9920backed No | 41c | 281.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…7d01backed Yes | 61c | 266.45$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 60c | 256.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 59c | 255.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Yes | 59c | 254.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d778backed No | 41c | 242.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…21e9backed No | 41c | 238.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 41c | 213.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 28c | 177$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 171.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 29c | 169.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 157.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked No | 64c | 154.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Yes | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 59c | 146.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 121.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…dae2backed Yes | 60c | 111.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 58c | 104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed No | 40c | 75.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 72c | 69.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…d256backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Yes | 59c | 63.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed Yes | 75c | 51.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 60c | 50.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 40c | 45.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 39c | 41.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Yes | 75c | 39.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 42c | 35.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…044bbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 60c | 27.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 61c | 26.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 40c | 25.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7b…b830backed Yes | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 56c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 60c | 21.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-03?this page
- Will IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.