Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7cea09151baceb67576fe1e70244823c008a91054fdb8fbf3efdae5946eee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,644$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.28 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 1,291$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,036$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.63 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 650$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 65c | 461.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 35c | 427.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 38c | 229.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 71c | 221.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 159.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 80c | 128$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 62c | 77.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 21c | 73.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 23c | 70.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 65.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 64.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 53.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 70c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 42c | 32.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 33c | 31.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 65c | 28.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 27.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 64c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…044bbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…2b28backed No | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF end in a draw?this page
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-03?No won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.