WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4dab99d0ccd71c796d604c193b56c44bf9ccd14995ada552d0314166e4259d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Minnesota Lynx, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 8,463$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 5,535$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.61 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 4,146$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 3,998$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.26 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 3,853$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,933$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.42 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.5 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,097$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 779.29$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.85 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Minnesota Lynx | 5c | 499.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Minnesota Lynx | 24c | 199.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 198.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 191.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 77c | 171.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 147.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…7e8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 113.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 99.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…23c5backed Minnesota Lynx | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 72.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 61.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 55.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.