WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc6886d9dbd450cb18e441662bb001553b0b0c25da2c4b86d9239739fd42f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 71c | 1,792$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.79 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Over | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,332$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 1,177$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.78 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Over | 3c | 1,042$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 44c | 1,039$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.97 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Over | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Over | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Over | 5c | 810.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Over | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Over | 30c | 743.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Over | 26c | 641.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Over | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Over | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Over | 30c | 563.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 512.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…1fabbacked Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 480$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Over | 28c | 454.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 386.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 70c | 355.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Over | 34c | 343.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 294.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 73c | 272.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 225$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 73c | 201.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 192.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Under | 66c | 187.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 65c | 168.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 161.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 151.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 54c | 115.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…74d2backed Over | 25c | 113.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 65c | 96.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 43c | 86.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 72.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 47c | 66.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 60.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Under | 60c | 58.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 60c | 49.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Over | 46c | 28.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 52c | 19.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Under | 53c | 18.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…11dabacked Under | 53c | 18.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.