WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb54c42e15f0f1f42fb67058113667d5f3317bb605cdc6d3025590643fd9cf792

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Los Angeles Sparksof Minnesota Lynx, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1681…5032backed Los Angeles Sparks	57c	19,419$11,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,399.9	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Lynx	45c	11,145$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.98	143	53.8%77 W · 66 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx	43c	5,686$2,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,445	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks	55c	4,709$2,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120.75	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx	43c	4,360$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,875	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Los Angeles Sparks	55c	2,364$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.64	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks	55c	1,782$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805.1	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx	43c	1,759$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.4	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	1,569$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.33	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Minnesota Lynx	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx	44c	745.52$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	579.44$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.72	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Lynx	45c	535.97$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.64	320	49.4%158 W · 162 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx	44c	512$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.28	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Minnesota Lynx	44c	511.22$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.94	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Sparks	53c	500.36$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.56	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Lynx	45c	440.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Los Angeles Sparks	56c	396.74$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.74	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	389.56$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.78	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Minnesota Lynx	26c	383.09$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.73	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Minnesota Lynx	43c	371.6$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.34	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks	53c	354.24$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.56	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	55c	347.78$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.5	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Minnesota Lynx	46c	337$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.93	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Lynx	31c	291.87$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.42	347	26.5%92 W · 255 L	-20.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Lynx	43c	247.23$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.54	376	50.3%189 W · 187 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx	32c	212.25$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.92	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Lynx	38c	205.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.2	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Lynx	17c	204.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Lynx	38c	187$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.31	248	52.4%130 W · 118 L	+10.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Lynx	46c	179.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	171	43.9%75 W · 96 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	170$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	361	54%195 W · 166 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Los Angeles Sparks	57c	166.37$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.06	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Minnesota Lynx	50c	145.12$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.01	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Lynx	41c	132.83$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	347	53.9%187 W · 160 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Lynx	45c	129.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	164	50%82 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Los Angeles Sparks	62c	121.24$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.65	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Lynx	45c	109.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	159	38.4%61 W · 98 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Minnesota Lynx	46c	101.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.53	188	50%94 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	127	51.2%65 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Los Angeles Sparks	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks	67c	98.3$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.21	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	78c	88$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.34	187	46%86 W · 101 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Minnesota Lynx	37c	84.77$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.66	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Los Angeles Sparks	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	76.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	329	48.6%160 W · 169 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Lynx	22c	74.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	261	47.1%123 W · 138 L	+15.7wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	76c	69$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.59	314	48.4%152 W · 162 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Minnesota Lynx	46c	68.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.58	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx	45c	62.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.66	323	46.7%151 W · 172 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Minnesota Lynx	46c	59.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	53.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.39	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Los Angeles Sparks	58c	51.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.77	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Sparks	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx	48c	46.06$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	426	49.3%210 W · 216 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Minnesota Lynx	27c	42.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	411	47%193 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	35.85$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Minnesota Lynx	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	60c	29.85$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.84	153	46.4%71 W · 82 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Minnesota Lynx	47c	28.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-7.6wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c82…00d5backed Minnesota Lynx	46c	27.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx	46c	26.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	224	40.2%90 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Minnesota Lynx	41c	26.04$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	64	1.6%1 W · 63 L	-26.1wins	-0.41per pick	42cpaid	-97.6%equal weight	17-0.29 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Los Angeles Sparks	74c	25.35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.59	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	-8.4wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Minnesota Lynx	44c	24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx	45c	23.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)this page
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5Over won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 181.5Over won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 182.5Over won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5Under won
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Los Angeles Sparks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event