TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c13,426$8,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,412.161,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c8,712$5,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.852,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.583438.2%13 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked No40c7,282$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.972147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Yes58c6,870$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.041752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c6,227$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.397,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes75c4,544$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.545,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No41c3,917$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.242931%9 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes59c2,854$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.932846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe421…6e77backed Yes59c2,674$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked No43c2,558$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes57c2,325$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.755850%29 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes74c2,230$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8520742.5%88 W · 119 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9918344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c1,503$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.331,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No41c1,341$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No41c1,303$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2823346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed No43c1,258$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.474136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes61c1,151$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.013043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No40c1,047$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7416953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes77c973.54$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1687745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No40c936.38$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.558251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Yes60c922.1$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.841478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6980…5478backed Yes60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes58c699.76$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No22c637.15$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.262,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Yes59c534.73$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No2c526.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.759237%34 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes78c423.11$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.082,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes58c346.03$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.332245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f0…4e2cbacked Yes58c331$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c291.23$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.552,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Yes61c278.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No6c264.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2291148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes58c259.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.958758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6218248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x005b…3c81backed Yes58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Yes72c236.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes63c174.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.681643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496245.2%28 W · 34 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8038…8b15backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No39c168$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.526642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c156.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1810245.1%46 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…32a1backed Yes58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes59c128.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6213650%68 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…806fbacked No43c126.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes58c119.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.826051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7f…4a4abacked No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507024.3%17 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No43c114.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3955954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes58c106.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.092860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.699443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9016…7c89backed Yes57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No41c93.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2310456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes57c92.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7610246.1%47 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c87.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1994043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes59c84.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.74850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2890…49ebbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed No18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d07…6555backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes58c75.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.867549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd2…24efbacked No40c74.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes68c73.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.293351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes59c68.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.348556.5%48 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Yes61c68.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.552166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes59c61.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3112348%59 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef6…3a9cbacked No43c56.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12d…5a58backed Yes58c51.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0b…e3a8backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…db10backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes59c45.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.767145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes70c43.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.082766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8378…0090backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed No40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes58c41.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.239647.9%46 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes79c40.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed No36c40.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.337537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.487147.9%34 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff4…88d2backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…61febacked Yes60c34.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2b…be93backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…d0abbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0926…3903backed Yes59c32.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e5…4ad2backed Yes59c31.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a1…fd70backed Yes64c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes73c30.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2644768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.