TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dd2…24ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.35
Iasi Open: Emiliana Arango vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Granby: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkayabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$14.15
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Athens Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelinibacked Lorenzo Angelini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$37.85
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.94
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$9.74
Newport: Katie Volynets vs Tatjana Mariabacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+273.1%+$40.96
Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Anastasia Kulikovabacked Elena Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$53.79
Athens Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Miriana Tonabacked Nao Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$5.47
Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Swedish Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Thomas Faurelbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iasi Open, Qualification: Irina Fetecau vs Tatiana Pieribacked Irina Fetecau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Swiss Open, Qualification: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$11.96
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.