Tennis · resolved market
ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5c8e5d7a321f51cede193d57b2af30866c389467e749a10305b35e6fb5b490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenta Miyoshiof Keegan Rice, Kenta Miyoshi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Keegan Rice | 41c | 22,356$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kenta Miyoshi | 54c | 11,894$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,448.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Kenta Miyoshi | 62c | 4,990$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.26 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Keegan Rice | 73c | 1,230$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.74 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Keegan Rice | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 23c | 766.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.73 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keegan Rice | 46c | 571.31$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kenta Miyoshi | 23c | 507.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Keegan Rice | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Keegan Rice | 69c | 409.55$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.59 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Kenta Miyoshi | 36c | 278.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kenta Miyoshi | 55c | 176.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Keegan Rice | 76c | 167.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kenta Miyoshi | 36c | 158.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Keegan Rice | 7c | 152.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Keegan Rice | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kenta Miyoshi | 43c | 142.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Keegan Rice | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keegan Rice | 23c | 129.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Keegan Rice | 14c | 128.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Keegan Rice | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Kenta Miyoshi | 32c | 107.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Kenta Miyoshi | 22c | 100.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Kenta Miyoshi | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Keegan Rice | 47c | 95.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Keegan Rice | 50c | 80.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kenta Miyoshi | 54c | 79.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Keegan Rice | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Keegan Rice | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Keegan Rice | 50c | 72.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Keegan Rice | 69c | 71.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Keegan Rice | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Keegan Rice | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Keegan Rice | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kenta Miyoshi | 50c | 59.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Keegan Rice | 28c | 59.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Keegan Rice | 41c | 56.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keegan Rice | 33c | 56.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…24efbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 27c | 55.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kenta Miyoshi | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 20c | 53.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Kenta Miyoshi | 40c | 52.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Keegan Rice | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Keegan Rice | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Keegan Rice | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keegan Rice | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Kenta Miyoshi | 43c | 35.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Keegan Rice | 45c | 35.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Keegan Rice | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Keegan Rice | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Keegan Rice | 72c | 14.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.