MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089cebb482b05f853a24ff8de0151b52f94754a37835f33b5309ca75f2820f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 46c | 40,222$18,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,816.71 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 29,066$15,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,014.43 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 9,864$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.53 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 6,463$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.89 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 6,284$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.16 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 48c | 5,097$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.66 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.64 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 3,973$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.74 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 3,810$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.26 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 51c | 3,693$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 54c | 3,690$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.32 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 3,510$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.06 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 3,046$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.37 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 1,650$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 1,076$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.06 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Under | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 5cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 50c | 996.4$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 52c | 940.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 775$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 46c | 636.83$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 52c | 575.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 523.59$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.52 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 41c | 500.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Over | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 43c | 487$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 56c | 434.22$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 415.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 43c | 382.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 46c | 374.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 363.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 363.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 341.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 49c | 338$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 310.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 269$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 47c | 260.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 52c | 246.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 47c | 213.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 51c | 206$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 46c | 205.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 198$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 183.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…e29fbacked Over | 55c | 163.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Under | 47c | 135.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 46c | 122$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 118$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 71c | 105.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…4dccbacked Under | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 49c | 101.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 46c | 99.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 96.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 45c | 85.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 55c | 83.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 73.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 71.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 67.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 54c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 55c | 60.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Over | 53c | 54.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 53c | 54.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 52c | 52.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 55c | 50.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 45c | 47.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 44c | 40.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 54c | 40.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 39.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 52c | 39.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 51c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.