MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed16e24833b856646b3b036e87cf48695dff19421565dcbe7274126ab2942cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 65,968$37,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,366.23 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Houston Astros | 42c | 23,902$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 22,031$12,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,914.05 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 43c | 17,926$7,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,708.18 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 45c | 17,282$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 21c | 16,737$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.74 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 14,767$10,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.9 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 7,962$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.75 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 7,950$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.21 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 18c | 7,456$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.11 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 7,423$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Houston Astros | 43c | 7,408$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.55 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 6,413$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.96 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -16.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 28c | 5,532$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.03 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 5,264$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.52 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 4,741$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.07 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 4,446$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.7 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 29c | 3,472$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.13 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 3,330$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.07 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Houston Astros | 13c | 3,100$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,748$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 2,715$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 22c | 2,308$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.33 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 2,082$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.25 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,017$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.48 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…efc8backed Houston Astros | 3c | 1,988$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 1,824$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,721$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.36 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,645$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.97 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…e435backed Houston Astros | 10c | 1,605$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,538$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,393$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.18 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,318$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,264$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,177$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.23 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,170$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.79 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Houston Astros | 73c | 1,157$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.92 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,100$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Houston Astros | 30c | 1,080$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.61 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 37c | 971.67$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.52 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 951.9$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.25 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Houston Astros | 40c | 939.44$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 72c | 935.03$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.44 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 27c | 853.43$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 23c | 852.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 24c | 820.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 20c | 751.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Houston Astros | 23c | 655.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 622.74$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.52 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Houston Astros | 44c | 618.34$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed Houston Astros | 11c | 613.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 612$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Houston Astros | 2c | 599.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 592.44$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 582.26$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…2e99backed Houston Astros | 80c | 575.24$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Houston Astros | 44c | 555.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 516.7$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 12c | 513.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Houston Astros | 21c | 508.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 504.34$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Houston Astros | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 21c | 497.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 484.09$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 13c | 474.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…eaf1backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 466.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Houston Astros | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 446.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 24c | 443.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 36c | 425.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Houston Astros | 27c | 364.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 343.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 45c | 340.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 316.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Houston Astros | 14c | 302.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Houston Astros | 20c | 286.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Houston Astros | 71c | 283.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Houston Astros | 42c | 279.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Houston Astros | 38c | 258.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 256.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros | 24c | 249.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 245.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 244.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 238.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Houston Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 220.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Houston Astros | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…9ca2backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 200.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Houston Astros | 77c | 195.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 231 | 66.7%154 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 14c | 191$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 30c | 188.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 185.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.