MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c77089d52470ef1d014e2c2ca3c1b9add6a08b42514edbe16c14cda99fb0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Milwaukee Brewers, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 53,096$24,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,979.34 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 27,179$14,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,502.34 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 23,495$11,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,042.63 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 20,885$16,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 19,558$9,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,873.3 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…c4e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 17,343$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.51per pick | 31cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 17,112$10,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 15,000$8,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.25 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 10c | 14,831$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.1 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 14,758$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 14,331$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.04 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 13,641$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.15 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 12,890$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.28 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 12,433$6,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 11,301$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 10,836$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 7,497$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 6,592$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.85 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 6,531$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 5,937$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 5,444$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 5,254$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 5,191$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.38 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 5,128$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.14 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 5,040$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 4,168$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.64 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 4,124$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,924$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.19 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,777$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.65 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,608$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,291$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 3,022$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 2,970$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 2,627$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.44 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,144$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.79 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,119$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.11 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 2,101$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.58 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 2,101$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 4c | 2,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,931$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.94 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,925$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.13 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,797$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.25 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,661$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.78 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 1,592$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,560$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.01 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,486$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,444$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.68 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,407$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.2 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,350$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,280$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,246$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,098$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Milwaukee Brewers | 4c | 1,025$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 912.88$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 911.05$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.86 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 905$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.6 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…7e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 896.17$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 891.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 744.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 686.22$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 647.31$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.39 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 638.14$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 607.15$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.62 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 589.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 585$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 572.6$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 555.55$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 527.14$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.31 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 521$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 450$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 354.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 331.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…db80backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 326.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 320$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…686fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 293.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…641bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 285$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 263$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 260$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 17.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.