TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c3,830$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.172860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under45c2,658$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.7251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c2,616$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under56c1,869$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.858256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over54c1,246$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over55c1,036$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Over55c1,035$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.616747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over53c952.24$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c896.25$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.898,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over44c829.21$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.3632152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under46c767.66$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.432,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c697.93$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5229752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under48c642.93$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2645045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c551.86$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.056,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under39c534.41$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.428446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over47c499.53$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1884049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under49c477.81$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.151,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c460.14$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.862,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under58c456.09$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.484,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over54c428.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3337052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c427.32$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.574,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over44c376.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.741051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under47c292.95$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.731,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Over53c284.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6418356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Under46c235.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.471154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c225.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over59c218.88$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1741346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under52c167.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2734044.4%151 W · 189 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under47c151.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…724dbacked Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210249%50 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c146.04$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1861450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Over57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8167449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over43c114.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3126438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under44c106.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c104.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.725,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9623…faa0backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c97.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under46c94.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.061,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over55c90.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Over55c90.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cf…1377backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under50c85.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0552852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under52c84.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9416746.7%78 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c81.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.872,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c79.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.548,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf21…667bbacked Under46c78.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c74.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.14,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c68.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under45c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.668846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over54c62.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9717047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under58c61.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7634255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under47c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7317645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…00d5backed Over44c56.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.45048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over69c51.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.739,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225054%27 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2329242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c49.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under44c48.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4338252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6411151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Over42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312235.2%43 W · 79 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under46c34.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.18855.7%49 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a5…1c38backed Under47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.573145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over57c30.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.212753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under47c29.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9713054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…4e60backed Under49c28.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under54c27.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.531,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f11…749dbacked Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under49c24.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128239%32 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2234443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under58c20.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42236.4%8 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.