MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c3ac40b8061d1b702f08ca86ebf9edce4529153877ea5f92b9ac617410c758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 56,666$28,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,777.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 65c | 39,551$25,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,867.29 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 27,688$11,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,456.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Under | 49c | 23,897$11,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,709.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 12,426$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 49c | 10,551$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 9,805$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.65 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 49c | 9,550$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.26 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 8,941$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Under | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 5,978$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 49c | 4,498$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.14 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 57c | 2,515$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.77 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,129$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 53c | 2,047$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.13 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 48c | 2,006$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.12 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 1,683$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,510$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.95 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 1,504$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 1,429$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.45 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 49c | 1,173$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.46 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 1,125$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.68 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 981.56$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.35 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 49c | 957.74$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.56 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 909.12$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 49c | 608.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 50c | 587$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 538.02$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 498$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 465$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 46c | 449.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 55c | 410.8$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 45c | 401$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked Under | 50c | 396.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 51c | 320$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 50c | 300.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 57c | 296.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 276.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 270.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 193.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 185.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 35c | 178.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 55c | 165.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 51c | 160.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 46c | 154.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 140.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 129.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 17c | 114.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 44c | 97.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 51c | 87.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 81.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 78.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 50c | 74.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…b7b3backed Under | 58c | 71.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 64.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…fc71backed Over | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 58c | 61.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 59.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 50c | 48.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 57c | 48.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 58c | 45.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Under | 56c | 43.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 38.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 38.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…04efbacked Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 44c | 36.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…faeebacked Under | 51c | 33.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 32.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 37c | 32.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 30.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Under | 45c | 30.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 50c | 28.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…24efbacked Under | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.