MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d62b2f6adabeb0e0d64d2680b84da5656e6008da4a559e1db5f6276e0c388cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Kansas City Royals, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 40,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 31,073$12,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,488.37 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 22,412$13,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,224.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 18,658$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,257.81 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 18,086$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 11,293$6,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.12 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 9,614$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 7,871$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 6,747$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.53 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 6,280$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.08 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 5,937$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 5,427$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 5,122$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.05 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 5,031$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 4,805$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.1 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 4,706$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.82 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,653$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.79 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 2,666$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,851$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.68 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 1,804$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.9 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,768$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,666$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.74 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,432$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,269$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.1 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 1,206$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,184$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.12 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,103$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,100$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.21 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…02c8backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,045$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 967.17$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 901.66$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.87 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 844.48$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 779.03$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 763.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 722.81$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 701.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 640.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 633.95$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 581.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 552.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 519$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 456.07$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 436.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 425.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 418.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 390$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 368.05$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 358.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 357$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 354.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 326.06$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 320$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 285.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 248.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 242.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 241.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ae…5772backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 230.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 42c | 224.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 192.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…5917backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 170.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 162.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 147.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 144.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 144.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 140.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 139.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 136.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 131.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 130.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 126.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 123.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 122.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 121.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…4d75backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.