MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0b73b44506a98906d93d52b012834470ca99d7bf64b49a07810b897d81be6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $628,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 150,000$79,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,605.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 44,444$23,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,110.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 40,965$20,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,449.38 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 32,264$20,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,165.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 28,094$13,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,817.06 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 21,431$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,001.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 19,240$9,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,896.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 19,077$11,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 18,980$9,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,831.93 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 14,962$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 13,268$6,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,531.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 12,216$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.34 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 12,000$7,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791.85 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 11,947$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.96 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 10,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,674$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.48 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 7,472$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.53 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 5,904$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.37 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 5,695$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 5,341$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.73 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 5,265$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.2 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 4,342$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.46 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,925$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.79 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,806$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,558$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.35 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,504$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 3,388$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,337$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.03 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 3,255$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.46 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,015$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,885$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.37 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,779$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.49 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,745$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.78 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,339$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 2,234$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 2,179$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.98 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,088$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.59 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,066$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.16 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,049$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.57 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,874$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.74 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,866$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.32 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,817$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.03 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,810$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.39 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,791$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 1,785$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,770$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 1,654$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.93 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,636$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.38 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,634$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,500$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.45 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,334$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.7 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 1,329$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,325$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.68 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 1,210$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,154$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,115$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,047$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.59 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 1,024$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.64 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 934.67$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 896.19$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 888.59$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…01a9backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 839.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 833.28$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 723.98$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 695.73$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.22 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 642.68$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…a9e0backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 622.93$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 601.6$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 571.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 568.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 538.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 505$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 500.55$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 490$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 480.09$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…3f23backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 478.77$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.