TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Katie Volynets vs Tatjana Maria

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tatjana Mariaof Katie Volynets, Tatjana Maria
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Katie Volynets13c19,921$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.564,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Tatjana Maria60c11,743$6,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,752.3834857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Katie Volynets42c5,156$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.663,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Katie Volynets7c4,705$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34528039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Katie Volynets12c4,484$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0828221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Katie Volynets45c3,822$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72013025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tatjana Maria56c3,552$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.742,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tatjana Maria62c3,192$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.914,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tatjana Maria78c3,070$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.0993740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Tatjana Maria78c2,175$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1525854.3%140 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Tatjana Maria56c1,752$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.9779855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Katie Volynets23c1,424$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.788,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Tatjana Maria57c1,411$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.491,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Katie Volynets21c1,259$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2917818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Katie Volynets28c1,230$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Katie Volynets43c1,205$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.675,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Tatjana Maria79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6638557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tatjana Maria78c1,009$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Katie Volynets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Katie Volynets23c860.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Katie Volynets13c821.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0428437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Tatjana Maria76c798.43$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6219251%98 W · 94 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Tatjana Maria76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.478061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Tatjana Maria64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.258461.9%52 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Katie Volynets44c720$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.812444.4%55 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Katie Volynets44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Katie Volynets44c550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24225349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Katie Volynets19c483.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.891,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Katie Volynets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Katie Volynets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda70…37e3backed Tatjana Maria74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.975545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Katie Volynets43c463.86$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4692237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Katie Volynets22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Tatjana Maria78c382.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2411765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Katie Volynets44c318.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Tatjana Maria80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Katie Volynets44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Katie Volynets10c289.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6360446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Tatjana Maria56c275.1$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.921,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Katie Volynets44c269.55$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.62,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Tatjana Maria78c257.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Katie Volynets45c257.41$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.572,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Katie Volynets4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109715.5%15 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Katie Volynets44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Katie Volynets44c239$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.161,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Katie Volynets44c227$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8833055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Katie Volynets43c221.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.252,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Tatjana Maria75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5084857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Katie Volynets44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Tatjana Maria55c196.08$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.247262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…ee4abacked Katie Volynets15c189.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+75.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Katie Volynets44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.211642.2%49 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…5dd9backed Tatjana Maria70c178.4$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.43363.6%21 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Tatjana Maria57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4414153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Katie Volynets12c164.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.551,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Katie Volynets45c162$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.972638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Tatjana Maria70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8611365.5%74 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Tatjana Maria80c125.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1617972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Katie Volynets43c119.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3948842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Tatjana Maria64c117.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3711564.3%74 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Tatjana Maria75c117.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3315552.3%81 W · 74 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Katie Volynets44c101.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8748245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Katie Volynets17c99.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.531,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Katie Volynets17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Katie Volynets45c86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.77,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Katie Volynets43c84.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.43,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Katie Volynets21c76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2197852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Katie Volynets17c74.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Tatjana Maria55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Katie Volynets44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.752035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Tatjana Maria75c69.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3482958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Katie Volynets17c67.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Katie Volynets37c65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7339035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Tatjana Maria77c64.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9436378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Katie Volynets18c63.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.183,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Tatjana Maria76c63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Tatjana Maria64c61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9927554.9%151 W · 124 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd2…24efbacked Katie Volynets25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…2b21backed Katie Volynets43c57.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.544949%24 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tatjana Maria61c56.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.212,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Tatjana Maria66c56.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2427556%154 W · 121 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Tatjana Maria58c50.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1113850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Tatjana Maria57c50.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.581,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Tatjana Maria80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Katie Volynets44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Katie Volynets43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Katie Volynets39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.524740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tatjana Maria56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7583447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Tatjana Maria67c47.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5731161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Katie Volynets44c45.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Katie Volynets42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Katie Volynets47c42.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Tatjana Maria54c42.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.391,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…d8d2backed Tatjana Maria78c41.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.031070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Katie Volynets27c40.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Katie Volynets45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.863537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Tatjana Maria55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…ccd2backed Katie Volynets33c39.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Tatjana Maria79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Tatjana Maria57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3320553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.