Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f096efd576cf08305ab8590ee59f94cc5b4888b579eb758e8095c17157aee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 20c | 9,800$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.02 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 9,448$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 22c | 7,627$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95d2…f2e6backed No | 21c | 4,571$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 79c | 3,481$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 80c | 3,245$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.69 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 20c | 2,599$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 1c | 2,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 4c | 2,253$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 79c | 2,167$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 80c | 2,020$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,722$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 1,197$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 79c | 1,013$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Yes | 80c | 992.97$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked No | 21c | 699.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Yes | 80c | 536.01$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 78c | 529.84$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 78c | 524.49$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 79c | 462.25$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 80c | 402$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed No | 3c | 388.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 20c | 375.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 79c | 328.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 78c | 252$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 80c | 198.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 10c | 194.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes | 80c | 175.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 20c | 167.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed No | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked No | 22c | 124.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 21c | 109.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…2c3abacked Yes | 80c | 95.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…f4e5backed No | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked No | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 79c | 66.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 19c | 63.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…d955backed Yes | 79c | 63.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…c9eebacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 59.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 20c | 56.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 80c | 56.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 80c | 52.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…db80backed Yes | 80c | 49.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…9031backed Yes | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…6dcbbacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 79c | 25.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…aeeebacked Yes | 80c | 21.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…206ebacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…ae81backed Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 79c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…4860backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…be93backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…0458backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…4e33backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…3d01backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…88eabacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf51…af6abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…6f19backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…f5edbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…24efbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-13?this page
- Will Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?No won
- Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.