MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6ba4504c5c62c8267faced6855fd7351e27026f3803660f64e252938a92b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 70,605$32,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,426.53 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 52,064$26,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,850.37 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Over | 59c | 25,001$14,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,744.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 62c | 24,108$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 44c | 11,935$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.87 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.76 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 8,142$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.73 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 41c | 7,385$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.91 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 41c | 6,809$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.31 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 55c | 6,166$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.42 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 5,565$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 55c | 5,000$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 3,371$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.18 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 2,960$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.98 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 2,908$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.93 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 42c | 2,788$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.98 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 44c | 2,532$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.92 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,186$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.29 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,889$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.91 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,778$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.32 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 1,727$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.17 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 43c | 1,560$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.25 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 1,442$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 1,146$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.2 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.4 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 41c | 995$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.05 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 950.94$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Over | 52c | 948$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 916.58$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.38 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 846$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.23 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 710.97$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 50c | 526.62$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 56c | 449.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 37c | 358.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 328$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 44c | 276$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 66c | 224.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 179.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 60c | 178.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 166.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Under | 59c | 149.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Under | 41c | 122$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Under | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 59c | 115.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 102.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 52c | 100.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 36c | 91.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 88.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 86.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 86.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 84.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 58c | 81.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 80.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 54c | 70.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 70.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 67.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 45c | 53.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 45c | 52.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 43c | 51.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 48.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 41c | 44.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…24efbacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 45c | 31.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…4e60backed Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 57c | 27.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 58c | 27.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 41c | 26.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 42c | 24.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.