MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9add4198700497ba3c8aabfc7f5b296f35b1c2b49fb826cc1c9f54c4ba1473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 71c | 7,581$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 7,560$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 4,013$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 79c | 4,012$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,116$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 804.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 535.67$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.33 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 535.48$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked San Francisco Giants | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colorado Rockies | 11c | 450$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 366.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 299.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 298.4$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 241.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 70c | 230.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 199.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 188.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 182.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 170.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 165$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 145$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 145$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 143.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 137.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 132.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 129.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 116.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 82.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 79.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 67.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Colorado Rockies | 78c | 64.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Colorado Rockies | 63c | 60.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 53.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 49.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed Colorado Rockies | 76c | 46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 43.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 34.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 26.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 25.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 21.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Colorado Rockies | 73c | 21.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 19.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.