MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4220af077dfd1589fd991f4b6340070140426f073cbab423b95bae48d8243289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 47c | 62,340$29,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,142.7 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 21,795$11,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,658.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 55c | 14,799$8,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,115.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 8,938$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 6,428$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 5,906$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 4,063$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 3,916$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 43c | 3,619$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 3,557$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 2,517$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.66 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 47c | 1,228$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.93 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 51c | 1,115$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.35 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…19b8backed Under | 52c | 833.77$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 55c | 799$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 52c | 692.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 686$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 605.4$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.91 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 587.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 434.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 416$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 400.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 366$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 52c | 319$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 57c | 266.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 52c | 195.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 55c | 195.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 47c | 160.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 116.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Over | 49c | 96.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 96.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 55c | 88.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 87.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 78.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 73.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 52c | 60.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 49c | 58.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…fbfdbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 43c | 35.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…04efbacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 43c | 33.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 55c | 29.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 54c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…dfa6backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 53c | 19.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.