Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6325b75f86f8323bc37188dbdcb653632e8b6de05efffab5d9bef3cc6f5e5684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked No | 33c | 8,480$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 5,262$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 2,383$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 45c | 916.57$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.12 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 15c | 699.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 46c | 699.93$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 577.23$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 529.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 72c | 422.51$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 391.4$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 27c | 390.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 68c | 346.76$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 46c | 326.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes | 46c | 317.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…83aebacked No | 55c | 305$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 295.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 280.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 67c | 259.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked No | 55c | 206$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed No | 55c | 206$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 27c | 184.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 73c | 169.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Yes | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 20c | 129.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 46c | 108.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 23c | 103.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…e3a8backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 59c | 94.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 72c | 87.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 46c | 86.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 38c | 78.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 67c | 74.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 77c | 65.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked No | 32c | 54.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed79…93e4backed Yes | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 47.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 70c | 46.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…eac5backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…24efbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Yes | 67c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes | 80c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.