MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddd12119a1a48ee0794c739eb440c4447bd789d164adc13f96d826cba00f4ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 145,688$73,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,987.2 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 112,873$56,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,436.54 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 106,365$52,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,151.49 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 60,609$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 48,213$24,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,106.43 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 21,994$6,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.62 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 19,957$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,198.12 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 16,508$10,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,563.58 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 12,493$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,344.76 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 11,452$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.12 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 10,973$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.78 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 10,450$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225.21 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 9,843$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 8,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 7,011$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.63 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 5,608$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.04 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 4,916$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.54 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 4,905$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.44 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 4,820$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 3,876$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.35 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,744$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 3,443$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.76 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,845$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.22 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,198$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.02 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,048$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,017$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.5 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.96 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,950$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.38 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,947$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,850$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,764$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.96 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,741$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.82 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,633$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.46 | 136 | 64.7%88 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,571$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,454$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.22 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,420$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.16 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,270$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.97 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,219$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.44 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,195$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 1,190$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.76 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,190$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.02 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,168$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,152$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.92 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…19b8backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,047$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.51 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 1,039$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.71 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 970$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 944$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 863.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.83 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 793.68$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.72 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 778.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.34 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 747.58$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 676.23$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 619.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 613.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 604.47$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.61 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 581.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 575.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.95 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 519.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 503.72$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 482.16$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 462.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 458.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 410$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 388.61$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 333.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 318.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…8e79backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 292$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 281.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 280.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 273.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 270$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 265.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 238.52$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 233$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 225.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 222.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 221.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.