Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b2844cd087613e980e0c0be46c8464b5b33757ff823b6b184cdc40add59799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 54c | 9,875$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.02 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 7,329$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked No | 64c | 1,731$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 1,555$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.41 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 78c | 1,470$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 39c | 1,459$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 1,362$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.75 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 1,111$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 822.79$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked No | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 748.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 71c | 588.12$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 64c | 563.9$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 56c | 443.49$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Yes | 18c | 409.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes | 37c | 343.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 31c | 309.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…168dbacked Yes | 64c | 290.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 18c | 270.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.21 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 19c | 262.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 42c | 261$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 73c | 255.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 60c | 248$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 71c | 244.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 234.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 224.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 79c | 195.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 141.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…66a8backed Yes | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed No | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…d9fdbacked No | 56c | 117.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 108.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 107.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 18c | 99.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 41c | 90.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…fd54backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 59c | 83.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 65c | 82.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 61.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Yes | 37c | 56.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 35c | 55.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f464backed Yes | 64c | 43.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 78c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…24efbacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 69c | 27.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…1b5bbacked No | 64c | 27.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 49c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.