Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48db39ef641f64a451b887c9e0fee0241f66f84229f57b09d729d25018a6057b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 3,359$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,549$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 822.53$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 199.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 78c | 192.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 138.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 128.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 119.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 80c | 76.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 21c | 71.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 30c | 60.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 76c | 57.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 75c | 54.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 30c | 42.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 37.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 36.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 80c | 22.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 78c | 20.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 73c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-12?Yes won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.