MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052eaecc7b268742ae1d2ddae58fc0d7be1ea9ba02f995fbd87a97ba6c3bbfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 56,017$31,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,727.38 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 40,000$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,799.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 34,564$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 33,608$13,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,669.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 12c | 33,603$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 31,944$15,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,738.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 21,186$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 18,000$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,419.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 10,738$6,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,228.04 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 8,747$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.46 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 8,746$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 8,232$6,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 7,779$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 0c | 6,749$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 6,396$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.94 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.39 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 5,507$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 5,195$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 4,482$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.79 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 4,446$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 4,329$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 4,229$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.59 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 4,109$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.39 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 76c | 4,064$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 4,055$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.55 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 3,885$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 3,727$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.12 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 3,430$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.93 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,873$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.89 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 2,847$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.76 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 2,700$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 2,656$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.79 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 2,406$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.54 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 2,277$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.02 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 2,164$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.98 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 1,965$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,844$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.15 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,698$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.41 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,560$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.16 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 1,537$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,508$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.72 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,500$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,370$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.98 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,350$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.86 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,308$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.81 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,192$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.35 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 1,067$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,019$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,007$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.68 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,000$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.94 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 968$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 949.85$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 919.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 914.63$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.63 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 879.86$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.86 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 873$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.61 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 631.04$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 617$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.25 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 516.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 497$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.27 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 483$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 424.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 421.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 376.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 294.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 260$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 232.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 232$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 230$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 213$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 207.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-7.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.