MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff551f494ed7cd8ea2b778e684d99f0cc3d30ec687c468a0ff89c9fb9d27384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 178,044$95,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,653.15 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 45,698$20,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,965.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 35,883$16,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,436.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 16,106$7,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 13,618$6,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,264.28 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 11,721$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,508.87 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 7,919$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.84 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 46c | 6,190$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.54 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 5,727$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.71 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 5,707$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 4,689$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 48c | 4,125$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 4,039$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 57c | 3,067$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.08 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,750$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 2,519$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,070$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 59c | 1,999$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 1,783$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.3 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 1,725$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 1,680$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 1,599$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.62 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 45c | 1,414$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.3 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 55c | 1,295$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.75 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 1,238$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 1,161$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.53 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 47c | 1,032$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.95 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 788.7$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 748.3$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 78c | 637.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 619.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 596$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 548.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 10c | 504.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 497$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.62 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 390.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 354$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 47c | 322.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 56c | 267.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Under | 47c | 240.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 149.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 47c | 139.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 46c | 122.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 63c | 118$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 47c | 113.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 29c | 107.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 102.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 65c | 101.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 24c | 99.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 96.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 36c | 93.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Over | 52c | 83.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 37c | 80.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 59c | 73.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 70.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 44c | 62.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 46c | 53.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 52.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 46c | 46.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 47c | 45.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 47c | 36.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 47c | 32.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay RaysSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-7.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.