Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Vojvodina Novi Sad win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c41a08ec1b53ef8a8283a31b8c83465e7f3715593542787005967c999ce2c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,469$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.03 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 1,557$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 1,361$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.89 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 1,310$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 1,268$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.53 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 879.04$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Yes | 18c | 848.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 36c | 646.59$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Yes | 33c | 622.3$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 36c | 555.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 33c | 515.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed No | 68c | 295.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 290.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes | 16c | 279.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 11c | 267.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 32c | 264.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 14c | 237.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 66c | 234.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 12c | 193.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 185$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 66c | 149.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 138.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed No | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 120.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 31c | 96.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 11c | 92.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 80.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 34c | 80.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 17c | 77.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 33c | 73.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 63.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 67c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Yes | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 53.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 67c | 49.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 67c | 40.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Yes | 32c | 34.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 25.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 76c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 74c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…66d9backed No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Vojvodina Novi Sad win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.