Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf54778407ead2725ac14061994b51709907b48d67b4e426001f5bb4ba72cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 5,617$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.88 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 4,448$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 2,752$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,250$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 2,137$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 568.06$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 472.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 357.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 73c | 262.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 77c | 223$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 23c | 223$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 28c | 179.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 169.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 52c | 157.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 138.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed No | 59c | 131.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 116.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 116$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 28c | 107.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Yes | 10c | 100.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 19c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 27c | 82.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…eac5backed Yes | 38c | 53.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 36c | 48.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 43.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 25.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 72c | 23.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 58c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Vojvodina Novi Sad vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Vojvodina Novi Sad win on 2026-07-09?No won
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.