TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes42c24,560$10,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,252.1897346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c11,538$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,704.456849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c8,353$4,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,431.272,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c6,388$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.751,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No4c1,940$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.613724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c1,505$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.0811226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes30c1,494$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.312,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c1,104$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.47354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c1,072$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No65c1,072$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.766456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes38c1,070$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.421250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes59c1,067$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.842,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a0…ef1dbacked Yes42c949$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c603.97$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7638047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No15c588$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6378344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked Yes41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed No61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1abb…0901backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No60c456$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.65356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No60c450.37$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.225154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No60c450.37$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.223956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No35c445.9$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8415628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes39c435.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.92740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No59c406$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed No62c404.09$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.873036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+94.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c397.6$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.761,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes63c393.85$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.631,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed No52c390.24$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.143237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No60c390.01$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.013633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No60c387.81$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4418449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes42c380.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.951560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c370.42$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.611,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes41c358.41$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.468245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked No60c306.33$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes62c300.81$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.434454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked No61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807558.7%44 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes40c267.17$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes40c255$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.24131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No15c250$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes41c249.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.498442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No58c248$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.842128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed No58c245.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.532152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes55c245.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.395621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c231$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.222,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No16c218$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.724025%10 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes44c211.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.768347%39 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No14c210$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed No14c196.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4760%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes48c195.38$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.66973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Yes44c191.27$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed Yes40c187.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes68c179.21$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked No18c173.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afc…ded7backed Yes43c168.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c168.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.141,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No16c166$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.373857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes41c161.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.443125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907166.2%47 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes38c131.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5528012.9%36 W · 244 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes40c115.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.627750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No43c114.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.023030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes25c112.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.514634.8%16 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes43c112.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1610157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+79.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc030…b7e3backed Yes39c107.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes20c105$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845536.4%20 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes39c95.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.113050%65 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c92.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3714552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes63c87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1663857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked No37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…84eabacked No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No43c77.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes40c73.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.716035%21 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes43c69.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No68c68.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes40c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes28c61.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.654628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes38c59.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.947649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed No51c59.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…8d7bbacked Yes42c57.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes40c56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1808…afe2backed No38c51.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2179354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3223950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325933.9%20 W · 39 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3219848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3227846.4%129 W · 149 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No33c49.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2116045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed No57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.791546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.