WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab80f4d448657b2cd472a05cfc29c8e18e433ff0a2387d9218625a9c00d8cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 10c | 956.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 843.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.18 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 52c | 784$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.95 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 576$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed New York Liberty | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed New York Liberty | 52c | 153.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Minnesota Lynx | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 137.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…32a1backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 133.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 133$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Liberty | 59c | 112.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed New York Liberty | 54c | 104.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 92.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 80.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 45c | 73.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 39c | 57.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 54.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed New York Liberty | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…0974backed New York Liberty | 49c | 51.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 51c | 50.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 48.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 45.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 44.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 45c | 42.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Liberty | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed New York Liberty | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 45c | 34.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty | 53c | 33.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 29.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed New York Liberty | 54c | 25.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed New York Liberty | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.