WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f40dec9bf65747ba3b5db5c4683036f2b8e29a9c50288771d11c159f818d785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Minnesota Lynx, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed New York Liberty | 38c | 26,300$9,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,305.95 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 18,897$11,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,716.28 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty | 54c | 6,831$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.89 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 54c | 6,457$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.51 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 5,866$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.17 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 5,046$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.03 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 4,939$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.31 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 4,206$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.07 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 3,317$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 3,072$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.12 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,976$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.64 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 1,214$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.39 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,183$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.21 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 940$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 765$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 646.87$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 598.12$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty | 53c | 375.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 372.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 306.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 235.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 231$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 217.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed New York Liberty | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 174.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty | 54c | 138$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 124.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 115.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed New York Liberty | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 71.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 47.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Minnesota Lynx | 63c | 43.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed New York Liberty | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 37.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 36.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.