WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ec610908b5585a06e0ae8921a4fdb4ba22b7e8d8b4dce4e988364b672afb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,306$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 20c | 999.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 410.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 380.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 20c | 379.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 367.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 49c | 305.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 218$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 76c | 201.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 18c | 190$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 24c | 179.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 169.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 31c | 168.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 15c | 153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 125.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 114.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 53c | 109.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 93.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 40c | 77.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 54c | 64.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 58.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 51.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 23c | 46.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 41.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 36.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…4572backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 67c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 173.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.