TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed No49c108,254$52,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,616.15750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes51c19,000$9,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,69019846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No47c16,746$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,875.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes17c15,045$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.1131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes51c12,970$6,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,669.991,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No47c12,500$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,62531643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes53c12,154$6,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,441.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes52c10,540$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,432.3128940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes32c9,265$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.392,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes48c7,944$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.0375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No48c6,790$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.762759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes52c6,482$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.31,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes51c6,028$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.386350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No77c5,682$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.5630048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes53c5,112$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.751,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c4,883$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.248,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Yes52c3,983$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes17c2,587$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.952937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes53c2,527$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.8267337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.951060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Yes52c2,267$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes51c2,064$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.431240.1%125 W · 187 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No46c2,031$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes2c2,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9110933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0301,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No61c1,811$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7018660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes2c1,534$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes2c1,469$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes51c1,469$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.998746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c1,352$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.713,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked No27c1,351$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.51837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes1c1,322$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5219953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc909…5c2fbacked No77c1,293$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.67666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No75c1,101$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.153759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed No61c1,010$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes52c980$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.411,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes52c980$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.411,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes51c947.69$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes21c895.52$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0612439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Yes22c878.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes3c870.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.666230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes50c869.84$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.473,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes53c855.53$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.391,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4267…4ccebacked Yes38c815.22$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Yes25c785.04$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.261952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes30c680.15$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No53c663.7$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes51c662.92$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.741,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked No74c589.76$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.89032.2%29 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed No50c555$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes49c500.01$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes18c500$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8913134.4%45 W · 86 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed No46c451.14$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.621947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c444.37$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.11,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.313053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No47c418.87$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2227060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c418.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.131,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes35c407.09$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked Yes45c400$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6cf…5507backed No27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+121.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes54c392.07$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.332564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Yes23c384.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.182060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes40c379.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.922661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6428…8188backed Yes53c379$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No65c361$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes5c329$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.077925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes51c327.57$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.379054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes10c315.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.057342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes51c308.23$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1915651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f9…cd6bbacked Yes16c304.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No78c301.71$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.213959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes31c300.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4931136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Yes51c284.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.996561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes37c282.04$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes37c265.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3935046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No75c263.2$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.253650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No54c259.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4845946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes50c253$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked No76c252.36$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.681643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No79c250.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes8c236.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6710128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes19c232.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2513833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes21c224.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.074452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c218.56$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.241,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes47c218$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…29a1backed Yes54c213.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c2…a24cbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes52c202.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0512755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.