TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69f6…a5d3backed No73c9,602$7,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,042.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c9,252$6,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,387.162,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c7,295$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,207.928,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c5,347$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No72c3,373$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.4775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c2,782$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.161,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No38c2,586$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c1,699$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.71,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes74c1,605$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No41c1,558$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No52c1,298$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.8721640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,200$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.981,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No10c1,183$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.245939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No14c1,155$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2716641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No4c1,078$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.771,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No26c1,014$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7712740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No2c966$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8144843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No10c909.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No69c812.31$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes59c794$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9824665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No28c722.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No7c718.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.316735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes27c681.19$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6412933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c659$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.729710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes13c647.92$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.694852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c638.95$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.992,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes26c576$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No17c530.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes28c511.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.067342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4267…4ccebacked Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed No9c476.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No25c463$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No53c434.01$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.281952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No9c417.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c414.46$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.353,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes36c368.24$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.51,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No22c339.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9419150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes29c339.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.086031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No70c283.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No16c282.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Yes35c268.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.815660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes32c252.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3820934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No38c252$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.321435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No8c251.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.857454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No35c245.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.724242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes30c241.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.447048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes32c234$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1835240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Yes11c227.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.274934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No14c213.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c206.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.993,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes27c202.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4912755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes26c199.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed No39c190$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.214643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes28c132.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.721,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed No9c131.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes21c126.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2911350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes27c125$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes35c115$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.754748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes12c110.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.618818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No24c107.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.291,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes37c100.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.355466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2824535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.511,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Yes29c80.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.277100%7 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+212.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c74.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Yes29c73.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes27c72.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9325147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c70.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.971,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No73c69.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.13650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes29c63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.513839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed No33c57.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes36c55.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.955347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673d…1247backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.59551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No40c44.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee9…ff13backed Yes30c41.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.718554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes29c37.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.293745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes28c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No73c35.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6815554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes59c30.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.597262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.320665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c29.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.351,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes66c28.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.772356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Yes69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5437…6e45backed No71c14.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No72c14.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4217067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.55464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.