TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes52c53,489$27,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,617.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c16,564$8,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,980.388,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No36c11,990$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.124436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c11,066$5,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No52c8,672$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.3182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes42c8,505$3,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.2510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c7,826$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.633,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes69c6,392$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,401.66757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes50c5,803$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,873.75540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes51c5,573$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.9411338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No50c4,964$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.222,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes49c4,898$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9812738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes3c4,867$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.748833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes45c4,449$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.4721538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c4,223$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.551,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No21c3,975$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.932,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes52c3,882$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No59c3,545$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.1731349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No31c3,407$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.521,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes21c2,998$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.931,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes37c2,916$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.365837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c2,861$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.291,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes48c2,767$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.8912646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes23c2,697$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.624139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes25c2,270$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.052835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes10c2,215$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.268928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c2,173$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.23,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c1,910$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No44c1,858$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.46232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes44c1,818$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.1945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No72c1,677$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.98660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No61c1,619$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.63447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes22c1,612$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.431,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes21c1,603$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.74141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No15c1,523$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.7320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes50c1,472$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.246735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No42c1,465$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.156339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4962…f509backed No79c1,374$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Yes17c1,323$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.683148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes79c1,280$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes48c1,237$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.695957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No58c1,140$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c1,101$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.131,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.2336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes47c1,087$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes80c1,084$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.9851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No33c1,074$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes49c1,022$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No30c1,007$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.415625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No77c1,006$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9319447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes30c936.26$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6517440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No60c885.12$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1212740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked No30c875.25$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.013836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed No79c758.73$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.337100%7 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c746.76$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.231,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes50c743.43$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.769920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes55c667.92$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.662462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No61c655.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.731631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No80c655.07$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7916641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No76c637.35$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes6c628.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3410128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c593.32$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.521,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes5c589.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes78c566.18$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.2750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No59c559.5$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No52c518.81$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.387342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes5c515.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.657925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No51c506.72$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.373959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes23c500.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.226230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes49c456.2$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.858818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed No23c426.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.082630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Yes45c423.96$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.781060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabb…8501backed Yes71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes23c421.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9713833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Yes51c402.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.552060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes50c399.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No78c384$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No36c347.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No31c336$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.16744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c312.04$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.631,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee9…ff13backed Yes53c301.53$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes51c291.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.855841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed Yes49c289.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.253650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No37c289.89$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.711952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489c…1a43backed Yes51c283.3$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No49c276.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.257454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No46c275.05$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.751,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes21c271.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed No49c269.02$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8220934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes42c252.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.213748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No36c249.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.874452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1805…8905backed Yes35c246.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Yes33c214$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.341428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.