Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b26c0437734fd12eac2633998cccba3695079dc5dfc38a8ec44a6fe55bd789a

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: The New Saints FCof Sabah FK, The New Saints FC
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,215 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked The New Saints FC	62c	17,909$11,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,808.82	376	49.5%186 W · 190 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Sabah FK	38c	3,600$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked The New Saints FC	61c	3,305$2,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.85	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sabah FK	38c	1,836$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.33	328	43.6%143 W · 185 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sabah FK	38c	1,634$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.59	915	37.6%344 W · 571 L	+30.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sabah FK	37c	1,571$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.23	633	46.3%293 W · 340 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Sabah FK	38c	1,440$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.2	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sabah FK	38c	1,440$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.2	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Sabah FK	38c	1,260$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.8	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed The New Saints FC	61c	1,110$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.88	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Sabah FK	38c	1,080$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.4	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sabah FK	38c	1,044$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.39	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed The New Saints FC	22c	879.14$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.48	467	41.5%194 W · 273 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Sabah FK	38c	865.47$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.88	432	52.3%226 W · 206 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Sabah FK	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Sabah FK	54c	806.08$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.32	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sabah FK	38c	789$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.82	403	50.9%205 W · 198 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Sabah FK	38c	789$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.82	502	47.2%237 W · 265 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sabah FK	38c	789$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.82	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Sabah FK	37c	668.29$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.52	99	47.5%47 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked The New Saints FC	40c	578.08$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.68	446	47.3%211 W · 235 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Sabah FK	38c	547$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.86	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sabah FK	37c	500$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabah FK	75c	401.6$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Sabah FK	38c	360$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+4.9wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Sabah FK	38c	360$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Sabah FK	38c	360$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Sabah FK	38c	360$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.8	48	66.7%32 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Sabah FK	38c	352$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.76	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+18%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Sabah FK	38c	345$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.1	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed The New Saints FC	62c	316.44$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.25	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Sabah FK	38c	314.65$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.57	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sabah FK	38c	288$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.44	53	66%35 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Sabah FK	38c	288$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.44	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed The New Saints FC	60c	264.21$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.32	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Sabah FK	38c	263.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.09	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sabah FK	38c	256$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.28	299	49.5%148 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Sabah FK	39c	196.12$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.16	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Sabah FK	38c	188.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.81	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+35%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sabah FK	39c	184$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.71	153	49.7%76 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked The New Saints FC	64c	180$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Sabah FK	38c	180$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Sabah FK	38c	180$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.4	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked The New Saints FC	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed The New Saints FC	64c	139.26$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.13	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sabah FK	38c	136$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c3…32a1backed The New Saints FC	62c	120.97$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Sabah FK	38c	120$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Sabah FK	38c	106.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.36	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked The New Saints FC	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	381	42.8%163 W · 218 L	-22.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sabah FK	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Sabah FK	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked The New Saints FC	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed Sabah FK	23c	91.09$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sabah FK	37c	89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.31	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Sabah FK	38c	86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sabah FK	38c	82.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	243	40.7%99 W · 144 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Sabah FK	38c	82.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.53	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed The New Saints FC	72c	71.42$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Sabah FK	28c	71.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked The New Saints FC	30c	55.54$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.88	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabah FK	38c	54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	187	54.5%102 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Sabah FK	38c	50.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sabah FK	38c	50.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed The New Saints FC	63c	47.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Sabah FK	37c	45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	149	42.3%63 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked The New Saints FC	73c	37.02$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed The New Saints FC	63c	31.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked The New Saints FC	62c	21.15$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.04	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x194e…02bbbacked The New Saints FC	62c	20.27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed The New Saints FC	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed The New Saints FC	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-3.8wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed The New Saints FC	74c	14.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.82	178	48.9%87 W · 91 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)this page
Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Under won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event