Champions League · resolved market
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172f72faa36ae9e45a7961d9db6adb09a2db5a67ef327652d13e12bad6754bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 941.77$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.47 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 623$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 457.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Yes | 61c | 399.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 210.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 12c | 176.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 57c | 170.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 55c | 80.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 44c | 72.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Yes | 56c | 69.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 67.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 36c | 41.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 64c | 41.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 38.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked No | 46c | 35.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 56c | 35.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 57c | 31.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 25.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 77c | 23.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 43c | 23.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)The New Saints FC won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Over won
- The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.