The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ce8c86d0faa1099ff92ea3c9b6794f990c8f356d1ef619dd19c6700334e0c9

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,636 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4155…fa41backed Over	80c	4,445$3,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.24	40	77.5%31 W · 9 L	+7.5wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	57c	3,152$1,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,362.22	376	49.5%186 W · 190 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	17c	2,999$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.42	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	2,805$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.75	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	80c	2,676$2,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.61	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Under	55c	1,824$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.7wins	-0.34per pick	52cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	1,620$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.4	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aea…c71fbacked Under	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	64	70.3%45 W · 19 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over	50c	1,073$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.14	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…f280backed Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11dd…f832backed Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c1…4114backed Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7b…d719backed Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8e…80cebacked Under	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under	20c	749.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	43c	607.58$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.75	446	47.3%211 W · 235 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under	20c	600$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+247.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	59c	503.22$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.7	467	41.5%194 W · 273 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	34c	366$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.65	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	21c	360$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	50c	319.67$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.4	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under	20c	300$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+250.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over	67c	270.12$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.12	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	73cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	80c	259.08$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.82	358	60.6%217 W · 141 L	+21.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	38c	170.16$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.66	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9804…8df0backed Over	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…593abacked Over	39c	155.53$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.53	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Under	36c	135.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under	15c	125.48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+71.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	49c	109$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	915	37.6%344 W · 571 L	+30.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	61c	108.1$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.16	299	49.5%148 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	39c	99.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	381	42.8%163 W · 218 L	-22.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under	18c	82.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	51c	73.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.04	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	39c	66.37$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over	60c	61.67$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.67	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	40c	61.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	361	42.4%153 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	61c	59.16$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.17	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Under	49c	51.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	69c	50.76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.68	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under	48c	39.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-14.3wins	-0.38per pick	40cpaid	-94.7%equal weight	25-0.23 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Under	40c	37.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	38c	36.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	633	46.3%293 W · 340 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	78c	33.63$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4634…d335backed Under	58c	33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	61c	32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…c118backed Over	62c	31.39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.93	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	39c	28.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce0e…ab62backed Over	57c	25.16$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	69c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	69c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	69c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa079…031dbacked Under	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9470…5d80backed Over	61c	24.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.55	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	60cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Over	57c	19.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.47	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	73c	17.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.84	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)The New Saints FC won
Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)The New Saints FC won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Under won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Over won
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: The New Saints FC O/U 0.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event