TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36a5…4a10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Set 1 Winner: Moeller vs Mackenziebacked Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Targu Mures: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Carole Monnetbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.56
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.2
Iasi Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Zidansek vs Marcinkobacked Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$201
Athens Open: Alycia Parks vs Maria Sakkaribacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.33
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+237.3%+$327.33
Athens Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneevabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Set 2 Winner: Oliynykova vs Burelbacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$114.55
Set 1 Winner: Valentova vs Korneevabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+609.8%+$879.98
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.34
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.09
Set 1 Winner: Putintseva vs Sherifbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.81
Draxl vs. Milavsky: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Molcan vs Fokinabacked Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.7
Athens Open: Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Set 2 Winner: Oliynykova vs Ozbacked Oz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Dukagjini Klinë vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.92
KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.11
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will FK Polissia vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$669.57
FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Spread: Helsingin JK (-2.5)backed Coleraine FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.53
Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$532.46
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$143.22
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$351.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$2,771.46
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.54
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.47
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$51.1
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+225.9%+$1,024.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.11
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.