Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64dde2d5aecd4d911bc54fd61af9075e261d421a0384700d526a60a14bcbdf8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tsitsipasof Tsitsipas, Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Buse | 45c | 40,719$18,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,136.46 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tsitsipas | 56c | 40,244$22,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,897.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Buse | 44c | 886.36$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Buse | 50c | 617.61$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tsitsipas | 49c | 368.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tsitsipas | 54c | 296.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Tsitsipas | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Tsitsipas | 49c | 200.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Tsitsipas | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Buse | 49c | 152$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tsitsipas | 60c | 138.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Buse | 47c | 110.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Buse | 51c | 102.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 101.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Buse | 52c | 98.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Buse | 54c | 92.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tsitsipas | 46c | 92.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 79.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Buse | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tsitsipas | 50c | 57.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Tsitsipas | 60c | 39.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…3f8cbacked Buse | 39c | 35.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Busethis page
- Set 2 Winner: Tsitsipas vs BuseTsitsipas won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Tsitsipas won
- Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio BuseStefanos Tsitsipas won
- Tsitsipas vs. Buse: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.