TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dallas Mavericksof Memphis Grizzlies, Dallas Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc308…7b09backed Memphis Grizzlies1c15,800$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis Grizzlies5c6,643$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.231,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Memphis Grizzlies14c5,420$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Memphis Grizzlies1c3,800$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Dallas Mavericks55c3,681$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.613745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Dallas Mavericks39c3,246$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.125269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Memphis Grizzlies37c3,191$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Memphis Grizzlies1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Memphis Grizzlies1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd4…1fabbacked Memphis Grizzlies1c2,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cb…ec37backed Memphis Grizzlies0c2,598$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Memphis Grizzlies61c2,300$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4033339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Dallas Mavericks53c1,879$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.455058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Memphis Grizzlies54c1,700$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.878333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Dallas Mavericks44c1,663$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.076437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Memphis Grizzlies1c1,633$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Memphis Grizzlies65c1,535$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Memphis Grizzlies2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Memphis Grizzlies2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Memphis Grizzlies65c1,498$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Memphis Grizzlies2c1,364$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.816219.4%12 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Dallas Mavericks41c1,351$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.5510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Memphis Grizzlies60c1,263$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Memphis Grizzlies23c1,084$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6322753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Memphis Grizzlies30c1,019$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Memphis Grizzlies2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Dallas Mavericks25c928$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69612846.9%60 W · 68 L+13.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1325…2e99backed Dallas Mavericks40c893.94$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Memphis Grizzlies52c857.51$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9757550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Dallas Mavericks39c854.37$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.4417646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Dallas Mavericks48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4165844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Dallas Mavericks63c789.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Memphis Grizzlies78c723.49$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.751741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Mavericks23c690.22$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Memphis Grizzlies2c674$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dallas Mavericks42c643$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.661,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Memphis Grizzlies2c640$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Memphis Grizzlies32c624.13$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1419548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Memphis Grizzlies2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Memphis Grizzlies2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Memphis Grizzlies75c519.74$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8125954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Memphis Grizzlies41c508.18$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Memphis Grizzlies62c502.65$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Memphis Grizzlies62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Dallas Mavericks50c473.6$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Memphis Grizzlies67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Mavericks39c399.67$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Dallas Mavericks22c395.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.654461.4%27 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+50.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Memphis Grizzlies75c395$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2515146.4%70 W · 81 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Memphis Grizzlies39c360.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Dallas Mavericks47c353.49$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.531675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc473…f293backed Dallas Mavericks46c329.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Memphis Grizzlies60c326.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5712541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Memphis Grizzlies76c324.96$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.977269.4%50 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Memphis Grizzlies80c311$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.812454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Dallas Mavericks41c308.49$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Dallas Mavericks58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.35per pick47cpaid+126.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Memphis Grizzlies34c296.68$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Memphis Grizzlies61c292.11$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Memphis Grizzlies59c284.86$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Memphis Grizzlies68c269$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.871844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Memphis Grizzlies53c266.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Dallas Mavericks39c253.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.211650%8 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Memphis Grizzlies67c247.76$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1662147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Memphis Grizzlies65c243.68$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.86636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Memphis Grizzlies20c242.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0359743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Memphis Grizzlies56c240$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4811160.4%67 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Dallas Mavericks48c239.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Dallas Mavericks21c233.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.783718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Dallas Mavericks21c233.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.441346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Dallas Mavericks41c216.74$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5633632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Memphis Grizzlies70c213.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503250%16 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Memphis Grizzlies47c212.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Memphis Grizzlies52c212.31$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Memphis Grizzlies71c211.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Mavericks46c210.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.98654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Dallas Mavericks34c205.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.882450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Dallas Mavericks29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Dallas Mavericks34c199$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4714357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Memphis Grizzlies33c197.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Memphis Grizzlies52c194.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Memphis Grizzlies77c190.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.051,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Dallas Mavericks55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Mavericks24c175.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2415759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Dallas Mavericks26c154.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.568230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Memphis Grizzlies75c141.55$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.763764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c49…c91bbacked Dallas Mavericks39c136.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked Dallas Mavericks36c126.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.434934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf983…39a0backed Dallas Mavericks40c125.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c7…499fbacked Dallas Mavericks25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…9ec0backed Memphis Grizzlies78c115.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Memphis Grizzlies18c108.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Memphis Grizzlies48c106.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Memphis Grizzlies48c105.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Memphis Grizzlies59c100.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.611154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aca…c347backed Dallas Mavericks30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Mavericks39c99.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Memphis Grizzlies41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a66…d749backed Dallas Mavericks26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Dallas Mavericks24c94.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.223735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.