Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c21771439e3f7bb773869a77ce1553f0790deb0c356ce0ffae2c26372494c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 374.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…4a10backed Under | 46c | 293.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 292.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 243.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 163.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 112.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 80.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 78.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 45c | 41.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 42c | 33.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Partizan Beograd (-1.5)FK Partizan Beograd won
- Spread: FK Partizan Beograd (-2.5)FK Partizan Beograd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.