TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c19,978$7,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,483.445,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over76c13,158$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.8917753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under51c3,134$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.955740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under18c2,827$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.379252.2%48 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.056653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under14c2,073$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5819340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over49c2,050$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.78843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under24c1,901$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6412939.5%51 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over47c1,843$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.951376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,411$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.162,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over76c1,322$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.288155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under53c993.1$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3417249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c981.5$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.091,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Over48c957.12$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over77c947.63$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.285050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c705.82$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9712250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under53c680$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.46060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Under53c675.81$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over47c599.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31810823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over49c596.22$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.227149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over75c526.31$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.061533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over75c519.48$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over72c481.21$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.582360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Under14c471.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under52c462.62$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5611849.2%58 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c459.63$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4184342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over47c459.51$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.542657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over46c455.88$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.176735.8%24 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36a5…4a10backed Under32c439.38$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Over49c394.2$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.041154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over47c382.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.989444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under52c305.27$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.581030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+40%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Over48c294$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.881973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over49c243.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2111812.7%15 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick13cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under52c208.3$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba7b…6370backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under8c188.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.053633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c164.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.851,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8f52backed Under62c161.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c152.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over75c150$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under11c142.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.696341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c133.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3877056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over46c133.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1526052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c123.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2315850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over48c109.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6954746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0413850%69 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5234150.7%173 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under52c95.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.068859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509540%38 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over48c88.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.266642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under54c87.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c85.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over47c76.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c71.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.031,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c66.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over26c66.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.877441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf651…53a1backed Under74c66.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a42…60dbbacked Under54c62.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under55c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Under53c60.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under68c58.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c51.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Under49c51.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over51c49.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.268347%39 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over79c45.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.675750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over47c42.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.295648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over74c40.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6224548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Over76c39.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.474564.4%29 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5724…b563backed Under55c36.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9168…6ab5backed Under53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…ac48backed Under70c34.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under53c31.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.592356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.719953.3%106 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over49c27.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over76c27.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.684759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under54c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over49c24.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+150.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f38…afa0backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over76c17.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.14250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8378…0090backed Over75c17.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd34…020ebacked Over75c16.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.