Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27eac29c17dd7ab0c133d6776409f11b81ea5871738c4fdd29cf35a55d2f4def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 11,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 4,234$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 56c | 2,938$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 1,910$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 18c | 1,900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,163$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.81 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…ba66backed Over | 56c | 773.79$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 57c | 687.11$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 475.59$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 68c | 397.06$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 70c | 366.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 60c | 243.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 67c | 131.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 124.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 59c | 88.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Under | 33c | 85.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 67c | 75.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…2aecbacked Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 67c | 62.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 55c | 51.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 55c | 47.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 69c | 39.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 70c | 32.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Over | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 79c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…2dccbacked Over | 70c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…512dbacked Over | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.