Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6032f46c56eaa8ad4adc2340ed1509670e7c84ead0334d8bdfd6b561b71826c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 10c | 2,629$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 60c | 514.5$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked No | 53c | 312.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 39c | 266.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 202.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 40c | 147.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked No | 58c | 129.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 39c | 108.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 94.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 40c | 71.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 60c | 71.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 39c | 68.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Yes | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 61c | 46.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 50c | 46.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…b882backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…082ebacked Yes | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 31.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 37c | 27.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 62c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.