Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9709f7b18a7b83bd8e275f6b7517ca4ffa4879d1c6b103beb9b7057d8a9c5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 5,056$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 4,622$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 48c | 4,177$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.97 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 44c | 1,575$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 605.48$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.29 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…0f5abacked Over | 52c | 529.15$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 348$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 52c | 348$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 111.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 48c | 104.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 80.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 59.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…b563backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 56c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.