TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,912 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c1,801$589 inLost-$589.175,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over66c1,648$1,092 inWon+$555.766453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c783.74$260 inLost-$259.992,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over68c441.18$300 inWon+$141.188843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over68c254.3$173 inWon+$81.382540%10 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over64c159.97$102 inWon+$57.592853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over67c53.73$36 inWon+$17.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over73c47.74$35 inWon+$133565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over79c45.04$36 inWon+$9.463100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over73c45.03$33 inWon+$12.161,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under32c36.47$12 inLost-$11.745750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under32c34.17$11 inLost-$10.932070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over79c30$24 inWon+$6.353946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.